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Saturday, September 20, 2008

Rednecks for Obama

Missouri resident Tony Viessman traveled to Denver for the Democratic National Convention to help persuade "rednecks" that Barack Obama should get their vote:

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Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Supreme Court upholds Indiana voter ID law

WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court, in a fractured decision, upheld an Indiana law Monday that requires voters show a photo ID issued by the federal or state government.

“States should have the ability to implement appropriate and constitutional steps to protect their electoral systems from fraud,” Indiana Attorney General Steve Carter said in response. “We can move forward in Indiana with a process that provides constitutional protections to its citizens protecting their vote from potential fraudulent activity.”

Indiana next votes in the May 6 primary that is expected to set a record for turnout in a presidential election year.

Richard L. Hasen, a professor at Loyola Law School in Los Angeles and an expert on election law, called the decision a significant win for backers of voter identification laws.

“Although there was no majority opinion for the court,” said Hasen, who had supported the position of the challengers, “the upshot is going to be that most of these laws are going to be upheld for most people, leaving open the possibility of challenges for small groups of voters who face special burdens.”

Opponents had argued that the law, considered the toughest voter ID statute in the nation, places substantial practical and financial burdens on voters and is aimed at fixing a type of election fraud that rarely occurs.

The state said the law imposes minimal, if any, interference and increases public confidence in the integrity of the elections.

The court agreed. Chief Justice John Roberts and Justices John Paul Stevens and Anthony Kennedy wrote that because Indiana’s cards are free, the inconvenience of getting one does not qualify as a substantial burden on most voters’ right to vote.

But Hasen said Steven’s opinion made clear that if a specific group of voters could show the law imposed unique burdens on them, they could challenge the law’s constitutionality.

Justices Antonin Scalia, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, who sided with the majority for different reasons, did not recognize that opening.

Justices Stephen Breyer, Ruth Bader Ginsburg and David Souter dissented.

Souter, along with Ginsburg, said the law “threatens to impose nontrivial burdens” on the voting rights of tends of thousands of citizens, a significant portion of which are likely to be deterred from voting.

“A state may not burden the right to vote merely by invoking abstract interests, be they legitimate or even compelling,” Souter wrote, “but must make a particular, factual showing that threats to its interests outweigh the particular impediments it has imposed.”

Although there’s no record of people impersonating others at the polls in Indiana, the state argued it could have been happening because Indiana has one of the most inflated voter registration lists in the country.

Breyer, who wrote his own dissent, said the law imposes a disproportionate burden upon voters without a driver’s license or other valid form of photo ID.

About half the states have some voter ID requirement. Seven states, including Indiana, ask for a photo ID although some will accept a signed affidavit instead. Indiana and Georgia both require the ID to be government-issued. Opponents said Indiana’s law is tougher because it’s harder to get the free ID.

Challengers, who included the Indiana Democratic Party, said the law is particularly hard on the poor, the elderly, minorities and others who might be less likely to own a driver’s license or passport and more likely to vote Democratic.

“The Supreme Court should be facilitating the right of all Americans to vote, not throwing up roadblocks,” said Judith Schaeffer, legal director for People for the American Way, which was among the groups opposing Indiana’s law. “The idea of in-person fraud at the polls is really a myth. It is problem that does not really exist.”

The law, passed in 2005, was previously upheld by a federal judge and by a panel of the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals.

A survey released earlier this year by American University’s Center for Democracy and Election Management found that more than two-thirds of registered voters in Indiana, Mississippi and Maryland would trust the election system more if voters had to show an ID. About 1.2 percent of those surveyed lacked a government-issued photo ID, which the center’s co-director said shows the photo ID requirement is not a serious concern.

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Thursday, February 07, 2008

2008: A Tsunami Year for Dems?


A large part of the discussion on this year's primaries thus far has centered on the contest between Hillary and Barack. We progressives are extremely fortunate to have two exceptionally strong candidates to argue about! (Hi, Mary Ellen! ;). . .) That being said, and personal choices aside, the really astonishing numbers are the total votes cast
by party.

Here are the numbers for just the 19 states where both parties had primaries on Super Tuesday:

Obama/Clinton voters: 14,460,149
McCain/Romney/Huckabee voters: 8,367,694

Or, 73% more Democratic voters than Republican voters.

It would appear that progressives are highly energized, extremely motivated, and attracting new voters and crossover voters at an astounding rate. In other words, in 2006 we knocked on the door - this year we're gonna knock the sum-bitch down!


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Sunday, November 11, 2007

Does Aboite have the Blues?

One might think so, after Tom Henry captured 57% of the vote out here. In actuality, Aboite Township suffers from neither a bad case of "the blues" or an episode of "scarlet fever". There's a solid reason why "The Aboite Factor" didn't automatically swing the local mayoral race to the GOP. It's a phenomenon that I first noted last year during the congressional match-up between Mark Souder and Tom Hayhurst, and it carried through to this election cycle: Aboite is comprised mainly of independent voters.

In 2006, the general consensus was that Tom Hayhurst would have his ass handed to him by voters here in Aboite. Yet he carried the township. Indeed, Hayhurst was actually winning the district on that election eve until the results began coming in from Kocsiusko and Elkhart counties, where the rural voters get little information outside of their biased local rags and WOWO radio.

One of the indicators that I had noted from that cycle held true in this one, but fell apart on the lower portion of the ticket: yard signs versus large corporate-sponsored signs. Souder and Kelty both had the "in yer face" large signs placed in front of businesses and corporate owned properties, while local home-owners signs, although smaller in physical size, greatly outweighed them by sheer numbers.

The sole exception was Chris Stewart, who entered the council rate at a late date due to Charles Langley exiting the race. Homeowners rallied behind Stewart as evidenced by their yard-sign support; yet Harper prevailed in that race. Given equal campaign lengths, Stewart likely would have won as he ran a FAR better ground game during his short run.

Take Aboite for granted? Do so at your own peril.

Is it a GOP lock? Obviously not.

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