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Saturday, April 19, 2008

Clinton campaign - Out of Time

The clock is quickly winding down on the Hilary Clinton campaign. Based on the results thus far and polling in upcoming states, Obama appears on track to finish the primary campaign fewer than 100 delegates shy of the 2,025 needed to win.

Overall, Obama's delegate lead is 1,645-1,507. That masks an even larger advantage among those won in primaries and caucuses. There, his advantage is 1,414-1,250. 566 delegates remain at stake in the remaining contests in eight states, Guam and Puerto Rico before the primary season ends on June 3.

If Obama captures 53% of them, which is the share he has gained in contests to date, he would close out the primary season with at least 1,945 delegates, only 80 less than the total needed to clinch the nomination. If he and Clinton split the 566 evenly, he would still be within 100 of the number needed.

Clinton needs to win a forbidding 65% of the delegates in the remaining primaries to draw even with Obama in pledged delegates. It's a share she has achieved only once so far, in Arkansas, where her husband was governor for more than a decade.

Hillary, the party leaders have held off on pressuring you thus far out of respect for you and Bill. They've allowed you wiggle room that no other candidate would ever have been allowed. You have NO path to the nomination at this juncture in time. The delegate math does not lie, the super-delegates are flocking to Barack, and polling suggests that you will lose not only North Carolina and Indiana, but perhaps Pennsylvania as well. Additionally, the super-dels appear to be moving away from you regardless of your showing in those states.

They are looking ahead to November and deciding who can beat John McCain AND provide down-ticket wins for the party. That's not you. . .

They're looking at who has brought hundreds of thousands of new Democratic voters into play this year. That's not you. . .

This election, much like the 1930's FDR revolution and the 1980's Reagan revolution will determine which party holds the majority position in this country for decades. You are not that voice. . .

You are much the same as the scared little school kid who, confronted with a bully, draws a line in the sand and dares your opponent to cross it. And, when he does, you draw a new one. You drew a line in the sand on Super Tuesday. In Ohio. In Texas. And now Pennsylvania. Mrs.Clinton, you are running out of lines!

It is time for you to discontinue your scorched earth policies of winning at any cost, and take one for the team. Only from that path will your legacy be secured.

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Blogger Vic DeMize said...

It is time for you to discontinue your scorched earth policies of wining at any cost...

I'm at a loss as to whether you meant to say "winning" or "whining".

title="comment permalink">April 19, 2008 11:22 AM  
Blogger John Good said...

Sorta works either way, methinks. . .

title="comment permalink">April 19, 2008 12:48 PM  

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